Trust the science (Updated)

Or Not

SNOWFALLS ARE NOW JUST A THING OF THE PAST: Climate Scientist Who Predicted End Of “Heavy Frost and Snow” Now Refuses Media Inquiries.

More than two decades ago, renowned climate scientist Mojib Latif of Germany’s Max Planck Instiute for Meterology, based in Hamburg, warned the climate-ambulance chasing Der Spiegel that, due to global warming, Germany would likely no longer experience harsh winters with heavy frost and snow as it had in previous decades.

Spiegel reported climate scientist’s prediction of harsh winters disappearing due to man’s activities. Image cropped here

In light of the current severe winter weather in Germany, Latif’s statements are facing renewed scrutiny. An article appearing in the Berliner Zeitung here notes that Latif’s prophecy has “aged poorly” and he appears to want to have nothing to do with them.

Hiding from the media

According to the Berliner Zeitung, the former Max Planck Institute scientist has recently stopped responding to media inquiries regarding his past claims.

In the days of TV and print media, it was easy to run shock stories about global cooling/global warming. But the Internet makes it much easier to look up old stories and verify if the forecasts made have come true. Or if the scientists have played both sides of apocalyptic rhetoric over the decades:

UPDATE: Here’s one scientific model-disrupter that will be ignored as an inconvenient truth by the warmists. Nice to know that there are at least some climate predictions they will reject.

Great news: The effects of "global warming" are apparently helping to reduce the global temperature

Scientists at the University of California, Irvine have discovered that climate change is causing nitrous oxide, a potent greenhouse gas and ozone-depleting substance, to break down in the atmosphere more quickly than previously thought, introducing significant uncertainty into climate projections for the rest of the 21st century.

…. According to "extended satellite observations," the atmospheric lifetime of N20 "is decreasing at a rate of 1.4 percent per decade," a significant decline.

As UC Irvine professor Michael Prather put it:

While most research has focused on projecting changing N2O emissions from human activities, we've shown that climate change itself is altering how quickly this gas is destroyed in the stratosphere - and this effect cannot be ignored in future climate assessments.

And it's worth noting that, according to this latest research, the change in concentration is not just a rounding error or a forgettable percentage of climate concerns. Indeed, these changes can apparently radically alter climate projections in the decades ahead:

[T]he scientists found that a continuation of the observed lifetime decrease trend would reduce projected N2O levels by an amount equivalent to shifting from a high-emissions scenario ... to a moderate-emissions scenario ... - without any change in actual emissions.

The work "highlights a gap in current Earth system models," one expert said, pointing for the need to "incorporate these effects into the models used for international climate assessments."