Pending off Round Hill

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28 French Road, $2.995 million, is reported as pending. Opening price back in February, 2017 (566 days ago) was $3.495, so while the wait was long, the owner seems to have gotten her price. I say “seems”, because we don’t know the final sales price yet.

Interesting, the town appraises this at just $2,264, 600, so if the sales price is close to $2.995, it will provide an exception to the near-accuracy of the town’s mid-country appraisals, just as its dated look runs counter to current tastes.

But it will all end on Inauguration Day, 2021

Say goodbye to all that

Say goodbye to all that

Texas on track to surpass Saudi Arabia in oil exports by 2024.

YOU ALREADY KNOW IT’S TEXAS, RIGHT? This 1 State Is Turning America Into an Oil-Exporting Juggernaut.

That anticipated gusher of oil production growth in Texas has the industry planning to spend billions of dollars on building out the necessary infrastructure to move more barrels to global markets. Enterprise Products Partners is one of several companies working on oil pipelines in the region. The company is currently in the middle of converting an existing natural gas liquids line to oil service, which will help move additional Permian barrels toward the coast. Meanwhile, Canadian oil pipeline giant Enbridge (NYSE:ENB) is working with MLP Phillips 66 Partners (NYSE:PSXP) and refiner Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) to build the Gray Oak pipeline. That roughly $2 billion-system will move 900,000 BPD of crude from both the Permian as well as the Eagle Ford to refineries and export facilities along the coast of Texas.

As these and other export projects come online, they’ll enable the country to ship more oil overseas. According to Enterprise Products’ forecast, the U.S. is on track to exceed Saudi Arabia’s export capacity by 2024.

Tens of thousands of jobs, energy independence, nothing will matter when (if, I hope, though I’m pessimist about that) any of the Democrat candidates prevail; they have all vowed to stop production of fossil fuels.

WSJ catches up with For What it's Worth

I’m outta here!

I’m outta here!

Wealthy Greenwich Home Sellers Give in to Market Realities

After four years on the market, and three price cuts, a stately Colonial-style home on Greenwich, Conn.’s tony Round Hill Road is being sold in a way that was once unthinkable in one of the country’s most affluent communities: It is getting auctioned off. Once asking $3.795 million, the four-bedroom property will be sold May 18 with Paramount Realty USA for a reserve price of just $1.8 million.

Seller Isaac Hakim, a real-estate investor, said it is time to move on. “We are ready to sell and I don’t want it to drag on,” he said. After raising their children there, he and his wife moved to Florida several years ago. 

While luxury home auctions are utilized in other parts of the country, they have rarely been seen in markets like Greenwich. Once a beacon for Wall Street’s top brass and still one of the richest towns in the U.S., Greenwich is facing a slew of issues.

Many wealthy New Yorkers are opting to live in the city, rather than in the suburbs. Some of the wealthiest, like Mr. Hakim, have decamped to Florida in search of more favorable tax rates. Banking executives who propped up the market with their yearly bonuses have also experienced cuts in compensation

The seemingly never-ending slump is leading some sellers to accept less—sometimes a lot less. Owners who paid top dollar for their homes in the Fairfield County town in the mid- to late-2000s are routinely selling for less than they paid. Dramatic price cuts are the order of the day. There were 45 properties in Greenwich priced at more than $5 million that had their price reduced by 10% or more in the 12-month period between April, 2018, and March, 2019, according to Realtor.com. Realtor.com is owned by Move, Inc., a subsidiary of Wall Street Journal parent News Corp .

Attorney Frank J. Gilbride II said one of his clients recently sold his home for $11.18 million, after buying it for $14.7 million in 2007. “We’re finding that the larger back country homes have not been selling recently, because the new buyers don’t want to maintain 10 acres of grass,” Mr. Gilbride said. “A lot of sellers are taking hair cuts of $1 million or more just to move on.”

The median price for a home in Greenwich dropped by 16.7% last year to $1.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2018, according to a recent report by brokerage Douglas Elliman. On the luxury end of the market, characterized by the top 10% of sales, prices dropped by 18.8%. Mr. Miller said that trend continued into the first quarter of 2019, estimating that the median price was down by more than 25%.

The average time a luxury home sits on the market in Greenwich is 357 days from its most recent price adjustment, Mr. Miller said. The only segment of the market performing well appears to be smaller, entry-level homes close to the train station, which are being snapped up by a new generation of buyers. The lowest priced condos currently on the market in that area start at around $330,000, according to Zillow.

Note that ““average time a luxury home sits on the market is 357 days from its most recent price adjustment; most of these homes have sat for far longer, taking price cuts all along. Thomas Peterffy’s Conyers Farm property at 25 Lower Cross Road, for instance, sold in 2017 for $21,000,000, 790 days after he put it up for sale at $65 million. He’d paid $45 million for the place in 2004 and, rumor has it, sunk at least an additional $20 million into renovations. His last “price adjustment” was to $29 million and even then, it turned out he had $8 million to go.

In fact, she's right — Congress can impeach a president for any reason, or no reason at all

I may be stupid, but I have horse sense!

I may be stupid, but I have horse sense!

Of course, the Senate would then have to try him, and that will be more difficult task.

Cortex really thinks the President can still be impeached

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said she is on board with trying to impeach President Trump, a position at odds with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

“I think you could reach in a bag and pull so many things out that are impeachable of this president. I support impeaching this president,” the freshman lawmaker told Yahoo News’ “Skullduggery” podcastSunday evening. ….

The New York Democrat said there are “many things” Trump has done that would constitute grounds for impeachment but she singled out violating the emoluments clause of the Constitution as the most egregious.

“I think it’s always been emoluments,” Ocasio-Cortez told the podcast. “It’s always been about that for me.”

The clause forbids federal officials from accepting payments from foreign governments without congressional approval.

Ocasio-Cortez also said she believes Trump has committed tax fraud.

Remember the Russian collusion story that was the ostensible reason for all this? Never mind.

But she downplayed special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation into Russian meddling in the 2016 election, which according to Attorney General William Barr cleared Trump of colluding with the Kremlin.

“If we had gotten something from the Mueller report then I would probably put that up there as No. 1, but I feel like it’s a little risky to put the entire grounds of impeachment … to put all yours eggs in that basket,” she said, adding that emoluments “includes any kind of financial misconduct.”

I hope this moron and her friends do manage to bring impeachment proceedings against Trump, because nothing could split Americans into two clearly defined groups better than that. But my real worry is that Trump hatred is so intense, so wide-spread, that every one of the deranged will crawl out from under their beds to vote against him next election day. The numbers still favor Trump, but the Republicans are going to launch a massive get-out-the-vote campaign of their own if they, and independent voters still clinging to their sanity, hope to beat back these people.

I've never heard of this lady, but she's apparently one of the 4,675 people running for president

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Marianna Williams calls for reparations

WASHINGTON — Marianne Williamson, a 2020 Democratic presidential candidate, argued that reparations for descendants of slaves are a “debt we owe” as a society.

Williamson has suggested allocating $100 billion to a council that would spend the money on programs that benefit African-American ancestors of slaves as a form reparations.

Williamson was asked how she would pay for reparations, specifically where she would allocate the money from in the federal budget. In response, Williamson said that "nobody" asks that same question when tax cuts are passed or when wars are waged.

"This is not a debt we can afford to delay any longer. The economic restitution for two and a half centuries of slavery followed by 100 years of domestic terrorism. Germany has paid $89 billion to Jewish organizations since World War II," Williamson said during a CNN town hall on Sunday evening.

"It's simply a debt we owe. This country will not heal until we take a serious moral inventory. A nation must undergo the same level of deep moral inventory [and] admission of our character defects. Racism is a character defect. Let's end this. Let's fix this. Let's solve this. Reparations won't end everything but it will be a profound gift. It implies a mea culpa. It implies a recognition of a debt owed and therefore, it carries not only economic power but spiritual force -- whatever it costs, it's time to do this," she added.

It’s astonishing, to me, how demands that were considered fringe ideas and dismissed by even Democrat politicians just a few years ago: gay marriage, transvestites competing with female athletes and using girls’ bathrooms, socialism, open borders and reparations are just a few examples, are now considered mainstream, and opponents to any of them are called racists, homophobes and, worst of all, free market capitalists, all of whom must be silenced.



Condo glut?

California’s cold market is doing well, which just shows that it’s scarcity, not design, that drives sale

California’s cold market is doing well, which just shows that it’s scarcity, not design, that drives sale

I received the following letter from a reader last week, and though a quick check of our MLS numbers produced slightly different numbers, they were close to the reader’s. While I was at it, I looked at our inventory of single family homes compared to last year’s sales, and if I were the owner of a house priced at $4 million and above, I’d settle in for a long wait.

Hi Chris,

I know you do not dabble in condo/townhouses but there is an incredible phenomenon going on in Greenwich.  

I counted 50 condos/townhouses listed in Greenwich from $1,950,000 and above on Realtor.com.  Now according to Houlihan Lawrence data, only 15 condos sold in 2018 for $2 million or above.  In 2017, the number was 19.  In theory, we have over three years of inventory.  

Much of the supply is new developments.  

125 Filed Point Road has nine listings or 60% of the total volume in 2018.  The units came on the market in March 2018.  

62-68 Soundview Road has four units listed.  They came on the market in March 2019.  

141 Milbank Avenue has three units listed.  They came on the market in December 2018.  

165 Shore Road has 2 units listed.  They came on the market in May 2018.  One unit saw its price drop from $2,495,000 to $2,095,000.  Another from $2,925,000 to $2,050,000.     

These are just the ones listed.  Each community has more units than listed so some were either pre-sold or being held till the first batch of units are sold.  

There is another big development being constructed near 62-68 Soundview Road, closer to town hall.  May be it will be ready for the 2020 season.   

It does not take an economics degree to figure out that the market for these condos are in trouble.  Just the new construction listed above is as great as all units sold at that price in a year.  

You really have to ask who is lending to these developers?  Money is cheap and plentiful but banks expect to receive their money plus interest back.  

Interesting times.  You can publish this if you wish.  

This had to sting

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4 Rapids Lane (off Winding, mid-country) has sold for $2.9 million. A 1962 house that’s been renovated and kept up-to-date over the years, the sellers paid $3.7 for it in 2000. Interestingly, the town’s been carrying it on the tax roll aT $4,051,000. Next town reassessment, tax relief for mid and back country properties is going to come at the expense of Riverside and Old Greenwich.

Brace yourself, Bridget.