UPDATE: Here’s one scientific model-disrupter that will be ignored as an inconvenient truth by the warmists. Nice to know that there are at least some climate predictions they will reject.
Scientists at the University of California, Irvine have discovered that climate change is causing nitrous oxide, a potent greenhouse gas and ozone-depleting substance, to break down in the atmosphere more quickly than previously thought, introducing significant uncertainty into climate projections for the rest of the 21st century.
…. According to "extended satellite observations," the atmospheric lifetime of N20 "is decreasing at a rate of 1.4 percent per decade," a significant decline.
As UC Irvine professor Michael Prather put it:
While most research has focused on projecting changing N2O emissions from human activities, we've shown that climate change itself is altering how quickly this gas is destroyed in the stratosphere - and this effect cannot be ignored in future climate assessments.
And it's worth noting that, according to this latest research, the change in concentration is not just a rounding error or a forgettable percentage of climate concerns. Indeed, these changes can apparently radically alter climate projections in the decades ahead:
[T]he scientists found that a continuation of the observed lifetime decrease trend would reduce projected N2O levels by an amount equivalent to shifting from a high-emissions scenario ... to a moderate-emissions scenario ... - without any change in actual emissions.
The work "highlights a gap in current Earth system models," one expert said, pointing for the need to "incorporate these effects into the models used for international climate assessments."