We're Living in Interesting Times
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I saw this post yesterday and dumped it in my draft folder; now its author is back with more. Hmmm.
I will spell this out, since OSINTTechnical did not
— Eric S. Raymond (@esrtweet) September 20, 2026
This action should be considered a war warning.
There is no reason for Russia to do it unless they are are planning secret military movements. https://t.co/d2rnGUmWso
And a follow-up post this morning:
The city of Narva, Estonia, sits at the Russian border, on the Narva river, opposite the zone where the Russians have declared a curfew for its inhabitants and a no-go zone for people who don't already live there.
— Eric S. Raymond (@esrtweet) September 21, 2026
Narva is 87% ethnic Russian.
There are intelligence reports that…
Full post:
The city of Narva, Estonia, sits at the Russian border, on the Narva river, opposite the zone where the Russians have declared a curfew for its inhabitants and a no-go zone for people who don't already live there.
Narva is 87% ethnic Russian.
There are intelligence reports that Russia has been building hospital facilities near this border.
Russian border guards have been spotted shoring up the banks of the Narva River in exactly the way you would expect if you thought they were going to throw expedient military bridges across it.
Russian border guards have also removed a set of buoys in the river marking the Russian-Estonian border, sparking a formal protest from the Estonian government.
Putin has claimed the right to intravene militarily to protect "oppressed" ethnic Russians in the near abroad.
The invasion and annexation of Crimea was justified on these grounds. These are all facts. Draw your own conclusions.
Kaliningrad is such a huge obvious problem that no western power would even take the territory after WWII because it was full of Russians. It exists as a menace on the Baltic, the European bridgehead of a Soviet threat.
